Friday 24 January 2014

German Ifo Business sentiment, US Housing and manufacturing data as well as the FOMC Statement and Canadian GDP are the major events this week, Here is an outlook on the main highlights on the coming days.
Last week US existing home salesticked down in December to 4.87 million compared to 4.90 million in the previous month, however total sales for 2013 were the strongest in seven years. Economists expected home re-sales to rise to 4.94 million however the sharp rise in mortgage interest rates and price increases together with weak income growth made home purchases less affordable for many buyers. Will this trend continue?
Let’s start,
 
  1. German Ifo Business Climate: Monday, 9:00. German business sentiment edged up in December to 109.5 up from 109.3 in November, reaching its highest level since April 2012. The reading was broadly in line with market consensus. Analysts are optimistic concerning economic growth in 2014 unlike most of its neighbors in the Eurozone. Both domestic demand and exports are expected to further this year. German business climate is expected to reach 110.2.
  2. US New Home Sales: Monday, 15:00. Sales of new single-family homes declined mildly in November to an adjusted annual rate of 464,000 units, down from a five-year high of 474,000 posted in October. Economists expected new home sales to fall lower to 449,000. However compared with November last year, sales increased 16.6%. Despite higher mortgage rates, the housing market is expected to expand further this year. New home sales is expected to decline to 457,000.
  3. UK Prelim GDP: Tuesday, 9:30. Britain’s economy expanded to a three-year high of 0.8% in the third quarter, showing economic activity has increased across the board, a sign the country is on the right path to prosperity. Service sector activity edged up 75% climbing above its pre-recession peak, but production is still 12% lower. However this improvement gives further confirmation that the UK has shaken off years of economic stagnation. Another 0.8% gain is expected this time.
  4. US Core Durable Goods Orders: Tuesday, 13:30. Orders for long-lasting products jumped 3.5% in November as demand increased. The increased was preceded by a 0.4% rise in October. Economists forecasted a lower increase of 0.9%. Meanwhile Core goods orders excluding the volatile transportation items surged 4.5% rebounding from two straight months of declines. The positive readings give further proof that US economic activity continues to strengthen. Durable Goods Orders is expected to climb 2.0% while core Durable Goods Orders is predicted to increase0.7%.
  5. US CB Consumer Confidence: Tuesday, 15:00. US consumer sentiment improved at the close of 2013, reaching 78.1 from 72 in November, more optimistic about future job prospects as well as present situation, suggesting the US economic activity is on strong footing. Economists believe the housing market and the manufacturing sector will continue to expand this year. US consumer sentiment is expected to remain unchanged.
  6. US FOMC Statement: Wednesday, 19:00. The Fed has decided to start tapering $10 billion from its asset purchases on December, leaving policy rates unchanged, stating the US job market is continuing to improve and economic growth is positive though still moderate. The Fed projected, economic activity will expand further boosting growth this year.
  7. NZ rate decision: Wednesday, 20:00. Reserve Bank of New Zealand  kept its official cash rate at 2.5% since a 50-basis point cut in March 2011. Governor Wheeler, concerned with rising inflation stated the bank will raise rates in the first half of 2014 to keep inflation around 2.0%. Wheeler set limits on low-deposit mortgage lending in October to tackle rising house prices, and fuel demand for the dollar. The RBNZ forecasts growth will average 3% in 2014 before starting to slow raised its growth forecast for the year through March 2015 to 2.8% from 2.3%, saying NZ economic activity is gathering momentum. No change in rates is expected now.
  8. Mark Carney speaks: Wednesday, 0:15. BOE Governor Mark Carney is scheduled to speak in  in Edinburgh. Market volatility is expected.
  9. US Advance GDP: Thursday, 13:30. The U.S. economy advanced an annualized rate of 2.8% in the third quarter compared to a 2.5% climb in the previous quarter. The main reason for this expansion was a buildup of inventory among businesses. The debt ceiling issue and the partial shutdown weighed on manufacturer’s business investments and on domestic demand. However the housing recovery and the ongoing improvement in the job market and manufacturing sector are expected to push GDP up in the fourth quarter. U.S. economy is expected to expand 3.2% in the fourth quarter.
  10. US Unemployment Claims: Thursday, 13:30. The number of Americans filing initial claims for unemployment benefits increased mildly by 1,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 326,000, indicating steady job gains. The four-week average fell for the third straight week to 331,500 close to pre-recession levels. However 1.4 million people stopped receiving payments since an emergency program that prolonged benefits expired in Dec. 28. Analysts expect unemployment rate will fall due to the expired benefit program. Nevertheless, there are positive signs for economic growth with a rise in consumer confidence and retail sales as well as manufacturing output in the final quarter of 2013. A small rise of 331,000 is anticipated now.
  11. US Pending Home Sales: Thursday, 15:00. Contracts to purchase existing U.S. homes climbed 0.2% in November, posting the first increase in six months. Economists expected a more substantial increase of 1.0%. However this climb may suggest the housing market is stabilizing after rising mortgage rates pushed existing home sales down. Nevertheless, continued growth in the US job market and improvement in manufacturing are good signs for a stronger growth in 2014. A decline of 0.1% is predicted now.
  12. Canadian GDP: Friday, 13:30.  The Canadian economy expanded by 0.3% in October, posting the fourth consecutive month-to-month rise, following the same increase in the previous month. Growth in the manufacturing and services sectors picked up sustaining the growth trend in the Canadian economy. Canadian economy  is expected to expand 0.2% in November.
That’s it for the major events this week. Stay tuned for coverage on specific currencies
Lew'da thought it: Debt Ceiling back on the agenda
US stocks finished mixed - DOW ends the day lower (IBM) while the S&P managed to end the day slightly higher as investors continued to react to the uneven earnings reports (COH, NFLX, AMD, EBAY) while contemplating what may come out of next week’s FOMC meeting. The FED is testing the anxiety level of the mkt by suggesting that a further $10 bil/month -( taking it to $20 bil/mo) will be withdrawn. Is the mkt really ready for further tightening or does it need to see more data?

It was only last month that they announced the beginning of withdrawal - we have not even had one solid month of data since....so while they are ringing the bell - I do not believe that further tightening is in the cards this month....The mini taper satisfied the urge to do something, but my sense is that any further tightening is premature - particularly given the news that Treasury Secretary Lew is also sounding the 'fire alarm'.......

Yesterday - Lew WARNS congress that the debt ceiling debate has NOT gone away...reminding them that the gov't will run out of money or as he put it - "exhaust its borrowing powers WITHOUT action by Congress":

"It would be best if Congress raises the $16.7 trillion debt limit by Feb. 7, If it doesn't, the Treasury Department could use "extraordinary measures" for a couple of weeks to finance the government, but it likely will "exhaust those measures in late February,"

Republicans gather 'round....which issues will you toy with this time in the ongoing saga of another debt ceiling fight? Will they stick their heels in the ground until the 11th hour yet again? Will the FED in fact announce more tightening in light of this commentary or will they settle in and see how it unfolds on the national stage?

Yesterday - the FED added some $2.8 bil to the system and remember - even though they are withdrawing QE at the rate of $10 bil/month - they can continue to 'adjust' policy with the use of REPO's and REVERSE REPOS.

(Repurchase Agreements (REPOS) is when the FED makes collateralized loans to the primary dealer banks - adding liquidity - and Reverse Repurchase Agreements is when the FED borrows money back from those same banks....essentially subtracting liquidity from the system - separate from the current QE policy objectives.)

That being said - there is no doubt that they will turn up the heat a little to test the reaction.....but in reality - I think they still painted themselves into a corner as the wild card remains - What will happen to rates? The spring housing 'selling season' is only weeks away - and the last thing they want to see right now is a spike in the mortgage mkt - my bet says that the FED will choose the path of least destruction.

All of this talk continues to play havoc with the gold mkt.....has gold found a floor?
In 2013 - we saw gold go from $1600/oz to $1250/oz and so far this year - it has remained in a tight range...testing $1200 and moving to $1260.... as it tries to stabilize.... but prices have since fallen back, driven by speculation I think that the Fed will continue to withdraw.....and this concern will continue to hang over gold. Trader type money does appear to be playing here - but is that due to the severe decline or is there something else brewing? What about the Chinese? Will they continue to be big buyers of the metal? Will they stand still at a price thus underpinning demand? This morning Gold is +$8 trading at $1246/oz remaining within the $1200/$1260 range.

Over in Davos - the conversations continue....interview after interview with global leaders - makes for interesting TV - but will that really impact how investors react? Today we will get earnings from Southwest Air, Janus Capital Group, Alaska Air, Lockheed Martin, Keycorp, Fifth Third Bancorp, MCD and more....

Eco data includes - Initial Jobless Claims exp of 330k, Cont Claims of 2.92mil, Markit Prelim PMI of 55, Existing Home sales of 4.93 mil (annualized) or + 0.6% m/m.

US futures are DOWN 8 pts this morning as we await today's data and continue to digest the recently released data points. Weakness in some industrial bellwethers (real economic indicators) continues to cause investors to be cautious as they contemplate the next FED move. I suspect that a test of 1825 is in the works and a breach of that will once again allow a test of 1810 (the 50 DMA) on the S&P.

This morning we see that the pressure is off of Jamie Dimon for a while as the focus shifts to Lloyd Blankfein (GS) as Libya is suing GS over significant losses suffered from 'soured trades' during the financial crisis...as they take this to court in London noting that :

"GS abused the relationship of trust and confidence with the sovereign wealth fund of the Libyan people..."

Amount in question? $1 bil +...so small change for Lloyd - but it is the negative publicity that he wants to avoid.

Next - a surge in NFLX in early trading (+16%) after they announced a 5 fold increase in profits - but just a side question - Is NFLX a company that really translates into signs of a 'stronger economy'. I mean - it's all good that they sign up new subscribers to watch TV - but how exactly does that help create jobs or stimulate growth in the economy?

Lemon Roasted Feta Chicken

Start with thighs and legs - I make some skinless and leave the skin on others so that I get some of the juice from the skin....but either way is fine...whatever you prefer.........take note:

Start with 6 pieces of chicken, 2 cloves crushed garlic, 1 lg sliced onion and 3 potatoes that you have either cubed, or quartered or sliced...whichever way you prefer works just fine....

Place chicken, garlic, onion and potatoes in a glass baking dish....season with S&P.

Preheat oven to 400 degrees.

Next whisk together: 1 cup of chicken broth, 1/8 cup of olive oil, about 1/4 cup fresh lemon juice and some dried oregano. Pour over the chicken, cover tightly and let marinate for 20 mins.

Place in oven and roast for about 30mins - then remove cover and roast for 20 more mins ....basting occasionally with the pan juices. Now turn on broiler and ...Broil the chicken on each side until nice and golden brown. Careful not to burn the potatoes.

After broiling - add crumbled feta cheese over the chicken and potatoes and return to the broiler for a couple of mins- just so the cheese softens really. Once completed serve on a warmed platter with Chicken in the center surrounded by the potatoes - serve juice on side. Enjoy this dish with a steamed green vegetable- like asparagus, or broccoli. Season with S&P and a dab of butter.
 
 Thu, Jan 23 2014, 12:42 GMT
by
Kenny Polcari | KennyPolcari.com
  • Attack of nerves
  • Yesterday was a day when markets were clearly on the defensive, with the trigger (the fall in China PMI) in some ways not justifying the moves, but nevertheless highlighting the fact that markets were perhaps becoming a little too complacent. As such, we saw stocks sell off, with US indices closing around 1% lower, but in FX the moves were also indicating a more conservative approach. Once again yen bears were frustrated as risk aversion took hold and further underlining our view that further yen weakness is going to be difficult to see without concerted action from the Japanese authorities. The pain was most felt in the Aussie, which has followed through in Asia trade to push below the 0.87. We’ve said before that the Aussie is becoming less linked with the fortunes of China and that remains true, but its trade dependence remains high and the losses reflect the fact that investors were reacting to the consequences of a China slowdown, which in a relative sense will still affect Australia the most.
  • The other standout from yesterday was the UK and the Bank of England governor’s reaction to the latest employment data see on Wednesday, the unemployment rate having moved decisively towards the Bank’s 7.0% ‘intermediate target’ which was introduced in August last year and was seen taking nearly 3 years to hit (now looking like 6 months). He undermined his own forward guidance policy by suggesting that there was “no immediate need” to increase rates. Nevertheless, sterling has remained firm, managing further highs vs. the dollar for the year above the 1.6650 level. For now, markets are not quite believing him, pricing in a rate hike by the early part of next year.
Carney and Draghi both scheduled to speak at the WEF in Davos
 
Today’s UK opening call provides an update on:
  • Investors down in the dumps following yesterday’s Chinese data;
  • Quiet day for economic data, focus remains on earnings;
  • Carney and Draghi both scheduled to speak at the WEF in Davos.

Investor sentiment is continuing to decline as we approach the end of the week. US and Asian indices both posted losses across the board over night and that negativity is now flowing into Europe, with futures pointing to a lower open this morning.

There’s a number of reasons why investors are feeling a little down in the dumps at the moment. The Fed is no longer willing to support the economy on its own and has already starting to scale back its asset purchases, and another reduction will probably be announce next week.

Corporate earnings season has been mixed from an investor standpoint and disappointing from an economic one. Companies have continued to focus on bottom line growth driven by cost-cutting rather than investment and stronger revenues, which is what we’ll need to see if the recovery is going to gather pace this year.

The economic data has been relatively encouraging so far this year, there’s just been a real lack of it over the last couple of weeks. There was a significant increase in the number of releases yesterday but things got off to a bad start as the Chinese manufacturing PMI fell back into contraction territory. Markets never really recovered from this disappointing start, despite some encouraging data from both the eurozone and the US, and that even appears to be carrying over into today.

The only problem now is that there’s a real lack of economic data being released on Friday which means sentiment is going to be driven predominantly by earnings season, which doesn’t fill me with much hope. Once again there’s very few European companies reporting today, although we will get interim results from Royal Mail which I’m sure many will follow closely following its IPO last year.

The World Economic Forum in Davos will continue today so there’ll probably be a lot of noise coming from that which can sometimes have an impact on the markets. Especially when the noise is coming from central bankers, such as Mark Carney and Mario Draghi, both of whom are scheduled speak.

Ahead of the open we expect to see the FTSE up 6 point, the CAC down 3 points and the DAX up 2 points.


Published On Fri, Jan 24 2014, 07:46 GMT

Thursday 23 January 2014


How Much Cash on Hand Is Too Much? And What Should I Do With It?

Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/230204#ixzz2rEPwXWcaAre congratulations in order? Or perhaps you're just thinking positively--I like it! If you're in the enviable position of having an excess of cash on hand, you have the power to take advantage of opportunities to invest in your business. But before we get to that fun topic, let me answer your first question.

Conventional wisdom holds that a business should have liquid assets (cash in bank accounts and very liquid investments) equal to three to six months of operating expenses. That's a nice rule of thumb, but I like to separate cash into a monthly operating account and a contingency fund. Put simply, the operating account should carry a sufficient balance to cover the lowest cash-inflow month of the year for your business. (Seasonal businesses should have enough cushion to last through both their busy and slow seasons.) It's your contingency fund that should equal three to six months of operating cash.


Here's how to calculate both.
Analyze the last 12 months of costs, broken down into production costs (otherwise known as cost of goods sold in manufacturing or distribution businesses or cost of sales in service businesses), and overhead costs that are spent every month, regardless of sales volume.
Take your current assets (bank balances, outstanding accounts receivable, inventory value) and subtract your annual liabilities (taxes due, accounts payable, loans payable in the short term), then divide by 365 to come up with your daily operating capital. Multiply this by the number of days to arrive at a contingency amount you're comfortable with.
Bonus baby
Contingency fund? Check. Expanded operations? Check. Still have money left over? This is when you start budgeting for the next three to five years. Think about where you want to be by that time and what it'll take to get there. And if you still believe you have cash to spare, only then should you pull it out of the business for yourself. Just make sure to consult with your CPA and financial planner to determine the best way to distribute and invest the funds.

Still not sure what's comfortable for you? Run cash-flow forecast scenarios covering various possibilities: average expected operations, a worst-case scenario, a best-case/high-growth scenario. For your worst-case scenario, consider what would happen if you lost your best customer or top salesperson, if there were a fire or natural disaster, etc. (When I was with a coal-mining machinery and services company, we lost $1 million in cash in six weeks when the coal miners' union went on strike, and all of our customers stopped buying. To survive we had to take draconian measures with our own suppliers.)

Figure out a contingency number that won't starve your current operation but will keep the business alive in case something goes south. Park this amount in a separate bank account or a short-term investment such as a money-market fund, and use it to secure a line of credit with your bank.

Now, for your second question. If you find yourself in the wonderful position of having more than enough dough on hand to cover both current operations and your contingency fund, use the extra cash to grow your business. Upgrade your equipment to boost capacity or efficiency, bring on additional sales staff or consider an acquisition. Whatever you do, don't sit on your money. To reach this point, you've been doing something right, and you'd be a fool not to take advantage of your business's time in the spotlight


Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/230204#ixzz2rEPpyfk3
How to Be Smart About Your Spending in 2014

Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/230988#ixzz2rEOHsfjSBusinesses must spend money to grow, but ponying up your hard-earned cash without a plan probably won't do your startup any good. To really grow your business this year, you'll need a smart, organized and strategic investment plan.

Many small-businesses have indicated that they are going to spend more in 2014, from putting more money into online advertising to increasing product offerings, hiring additional employees or hitting the road to meet with clients and potential customers face to face. And that's all good news for the economy.


But before you double down your spending, make sure you have a plan for how much you are going to spend and on what, says Bellevue, Wash.-based business-expense management company Concur. Keep a record of how much you spend on what, and also make sure you keep some money heading into your savings account, Concur recommends.

Related: Crowdfunding Seen Providing $65 Billion Boost to the Global Economy in 2014 (Infographic)

Have a look at the infographic from Concur to see what your fellow business owners are spending on in 2014, and how best to keep your own expenses on track if you intend to make financial outlays this year.



Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/230988#ixzz2rEOCtlSl
Over the last five years, my firm Red Rocket Ventures has consulted or mentored more than 500 startups -- nearly all of them suffering from the same problem. They are typically so focused on building their product, they don't raise enough capital to cover essential sales and marketing activities that will allow them to better attract additional venture capital down the road. As a result, many startups run out of money soon after launch, stalling out before they reasonably had a fighting chance.

The root of the problem really comes down to better education. Entrepreneurs need to learn early on that you can't launch a startup unless you have raised enough capital for both your product development and your initial sales and marketing activities. They must learn the essentials that all investors look for: rapid user growth, proven customer acquisition metrics from previously tested sales and marketing channels and knowing the best, most cost-effective sales and marketing tactics to stretch their limited budgets.


Related: Why You Should Ditch Your 'Go Big or Go Home' Mentality

By focusing on this education problem, I was originally thinking about building a startup curriculum in a university-style setting. But, given how quickly technologies and marketing tactics are evolving, I was worried about having the curriculum go stale the minute it was finished. Then, I thought some of this could be taught through startup incubator or accelerator programs, but that was only available to the small percentage of applicants that get accepted and only for the short period of time they were in the program.

I wanted a solution that would appeal to all companies that had the interest and the resources; a program that would grow with them through all stages of their growth -- from freshman year through senior year, using the education analogy.

I realized it was the agencies who had their finger on the pulse of all the rapid changes in technologies and digital marketing tactics. But, not the large agencies that are jacks-of-all-trades and masters of none. The boutique, niche agencies are the deep domain experts in their particular field, for example, search engines or social media.

And, more importantly, these boutique agencies that are smaller in size are also entrepreneurial and have first-hand knowledge of how to stretch startup marketing pennies into revenue dollars. By rolling up these services into a one-stop shop, managed by one person from the team, the startup “excubator” model was born in Chicago with the launch of Ensemble in August 2013, of which Red Rocket is a member company.

Why Too Many Startups Run Out of Money Too Fast

Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/229785#ixzz2rENYpwZJ
Related: Richard Branson on Studying Entrepreneurship in College

But, to really appeal to the startup community, we understood we needed a more attractive pricing plan that was more affordable to startups -- one where 20 to 40 percent discounts would apply for bundling your services needs into one “digital services suite” of expert vendors. In this model, the excubator would also consider taking an equity position in these businesses, so it actually had a vested interest to help these businesses succeed, as partners with entrepreneurs over the long term. This evolves the excubator members’ revenue models from the normal “short term fee driven” model to a more logical “long term venture capital return” model, which if done correctly, should improve the a typical startup’s odds of success from 10 percent to closer to 30 percent in the process.

It is too early to tell if this excubator model will work or not. A current flaw in the model is it still requires the startups to go cash out-of-pocket, even with deeply discounted rates, which they may or may not have the money to pay for. In a perfect world, an excubator model would have raised its own venture fund, or would partner with existing seed-stage venture funds, to help fund these early stage entrepreneurs who may have a great idea, but not the capital to afford the collective services which are required to launch the startup with maximum odds for success.

If excubators have done anything, they have creatively brainstormed how to help more startups over the long run.


Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/229785#ixzz2rENQEShI
25 Common Characteristics of Successful Entrepreneurs
Do you have what it takes to get through hard times? Here are the traits that help home-based business owners thrive.


Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/200730#ixzz2rEMYc1xLRegardless of your definition of success, there are, oddly enough, a great number of common characteristics that are shared by successful businesspeople. You can place a check beside each characteristic that you feel that you possess. This way, you can see how you stack up. Even if you don't have all of these characteristics, don't fret. Most can be learned with practice and by developing a winning attitude, especially if you set goals and apply yourself, through strategic planning, to reach those goals in incremental and measurable stages.

The Home Business Musts
Like any activity you pursue, there are certain musts that are required to be successful in a chosen activity. To legally operate a vehicle on public roadways, one must have a driver's license; to excel in sports, one must train and practice; to retire comfortably, one must become an informed investor and actively invest for retirement. If your goal is success in business, then the formula is no different. There are certain musts that have to be fully developed, implemented and managed for your business to succeed. There are many business musts, but this article contains I believe to be some of the more important musts that are required to start, operate and grow a profitable home business.

1. Do what you enjoy.
What you get out of your business in the form of personal satisfaction, financial gain, stability and enjoyment will be the sum of what you put into your business. So if you don't enjoy what you're doing, in all likelihood it's safe to assume that will be reflected in the success of your business--or subsequent lack of success. In fact, if you don't enjoy what you're doing, chances are you won't succeed.

2. Take what you do seriously.
You cannot expect to be effective and successful in business unless you truly believe in your business and in the goods and services that you sell. Far too many home business owners fail to take their own businesses seriously enough, getting easily sidetracked and not staying motivated and keeping their noses to the grindstone. They also fall prey to naysayers who don't take them seriously because they don't work from an office building, office park, storefront, or factory. Little do these skeptics, who rain on the home business owner's parade, know is that the number of people working from home, and making very good annual incomes, has grown by leaps and bounds in recent years.

3. Plan everything.
Planning every aspect of your home business is not only a must, but also builds habits that every home business owner should develop, implement, and maintain. The act of business planning is so important because it requires you to analyze each business situation, research and compile data, and make conclusions based mainly on the facts as revealed through the research. Business planning also serves a second function, which is having your goals and how you will achieve them, on paper. You can use the plan that you create both as map to take you from point A to Z and as a yardstick to measure the success of each individual plan or segment within the plan.

4. Manage money wisely.
The lifeblood of any business enterprise is cash flow. You need it to buy inventory, pay for services, promote and market your business, repair and replace tools and equipment, and pay yourself so that you can continue to work. Therefore, all home business owners must become wise money managers to ensure that the cash keeps flowing and the bills get paid. There are two aspects to wise money management.
The money you receive from clients in exchange for your goods and services you provide (income)
The money you spend on inventory, supplies, wages and other items required to keep your business operating. (expenses)

Related
Keeping Your Customers Satisfied -- It's All in the Details
Why You Should Never Prejudge a Sales Prospect
Why Teamwork Should Be Your No. 1 Sales Tool

Success Secrets of Sales Superstars
By Robert L. Shook and Barry Farber


5. Ask for the sale.
A home business entrepreneur must always remember that marketing, advertising, or promotional activities are completely worthless, regardless of how clever, expensive, or perfectly targeted they are, unless one simple thing is accomplished--ask for the sale. This is not to say that being a great salesperson, advertising copywriting whiz or a public relations specialist isn't a tremendous asset to your business. However, all of these skills will be for naught if you do not actively ask people to buy what you are selling.

6. Remember it's all about the customer.
Your home business is not about the products or services that you sell. Your home business is not about the prices that you charge for your goods and services. Your home business is not about your competition and how to beat them. Your business is all about your customers, or clients, period. After all, your customers are the people that will ultimately decide if your business goes boom or bust. Everything you do in business must be customer focused, including your policies, warranties, payment options, operating hours, presentations, advertising and promotional campaigns and website. In addition, you must know who your customers are inside out and upside down.

Related: Keeping Your Customers Satisfied -- It's All in the Details

7. Become a shameless self-promoter (without becoming obnoxious).
One of the greatest myths about personal or business success is that eventually your business, personal abilities, products or services will get discovered and be embraced by the masses that will beat a path to your door to buy what you are selling. But how can this happen if no one knows who you are, what you sell and why they should be buying?

Self-promotion is one of the most beneficial, yet most underutilized, marketing tools that the majority of home business owners have at their immediate disposal.

8. Project a positive business image.
You have but a passing moment to make a positive and memorable impression on people with whom you intend to do business. Home business owners must go out of their way and make a conscious effort to always project the most professional business image possible. The majority of home business owners do not have the advantage of elaborate offices or elegant storefronts and showrooms to wow prospects and impress customers. Instead, they must rely on imagination, creativity and attention to the smallest detail when creating and maintaining a professional image for their home business.

9. Get to know your customers.
One of the biggest features and often the most significant competitive edge the home based entrepreneur has over the larger competitors is the he can offer personalized attention. Call it high-tech backlash if you will, but customers are sick and tired of hearing that their information is somewhere in the computer and must be retrieved, or told to push a dozen digits to finally get to the right department only to end up with voice mail--from which they never receive a return phone call.

The home business owner can actually answer phone calls, get to know customers, provide personal attention and win over repeat business by doing so. It's a researched fact that most business (80 percent) will come from repeat customers rather than new customers. Therefore, along with trying to draw newcomers, the more you can do to woo your regular customers, the better off you will be in the long run and personalized attention is very much appreciated and remembered in the modern high tech world.

Related: Why You Should Never Prejudge a Sales Prospect

10. Level the playing field with technology.
You should avoid getting overly caught up in the high-tech world, but you should also know how to take advantage of using it. One of the most amazing aspects of the internet is that a one or two person business operating from a basement can have a superior website to a $50 million company, and nobody knows the difference. Make sure you're keeping up with the high-tech world as it suits your needs.. The best technology is that which helps you, not that which impresses your neighbors.

11. Build a top-notch business team.
No one person can build a successful business alone. It's a task that requires a team that is as committed as you to the business and its success. Your business team may include family members, friends, suppliers, business alliances, employees, sub-contractors, industry and business associations, local government and the community. Of course the most important team members will be your customers or clients. Any or all may have a say in how your business will function and a stake in your business future.

Related: Why Teamwork Should Be Your No. 1 Sales Tool

12. Become known as an expert.
When you have a problem that needs to be solved, do you seek just anyone's advice or do you seek an expert in the field to help solve your particular problem? Obviously, you want the most accurate information and assistance that you can get. You naturally seek an expert to help solve your problem. You call a plumber when the hot water tank leaks, a real estate agent when it's time to sell your home or a dentist when you have a toothache. Therefore, it only stands to reason that the more you become known for your expertise in your business, the more people will seek you out to tap into your expertise, creating more selling and referral opportunities. In effect, becoming known as an expert is another style of prospecting for new business, just in reverse. Instead of finding new and qualified people to sell to, these people seek you out for your expertise.

13. Create a competitive advantage.
A home business must have a clearly defined unique selling proposition. This is nothing more than a fancy way of asking the vital question, "Why will people choose to do business with you or purchase your product or service instead of doing business with a competitor and buying his product or service?" In other words, what one aspect or combination of aspects is going to separate your business from your competition? Will it be better service, a longer warranty, better selection, longer business hours, more flexible payment options, lowest price, personalized service, better customer service, better return and exchange policies or a combination of several of these?

14. Invest in yourself.
Top entrepreneurs buy and read business and marketing books, magazines, reports, journals, newsletters, websites and industry publications, knowing that these resources will improve their understanding of business and marketing functions and skills. They join business associations and clubs, and they network with other skilled business people to learn their secrets of success and help define their own goals and objectives. Top entrepreneurs attend business and marketing seminars, workshops and training courses, even if they have already mastered the subject matter of the event. They do this because they know that education is an ongoing process. There are usually ways to do things better, in less time, with less effort. In short, top entrepreneurs never stop investing in the most powerful, effective and best business and marketing tool at their immediate disposal--themselves.

15. Be accessible.
We're living in a time when we all expect our fast food lunch at the drive-thru window to be ready in mere minutes, our dry cleaning to be ready for pick-up on the same day, our money to be available at the cash machine and our pizza delivered in 30 minutes or it's free. You see the pattern developing--you must make it as easy as you can for people to do business with you, regardless of the home business you operate.

You must remain cognizant of the fact that few people will work hard, go out of their way, or be inconvenienced just for the privilege of giving you their hard-earned money. The shoe is always on the other foot. Making it easy for people to do business with you means that you must be accessible and knowledgeable about your products and services. You must be able to provide customers with what they want, when they want it.

16. Build a rock-solid reputation.
A good reputation is unquestionably one of the home business owner's most tangible and marketable assets. You can't simply buy a good reputation; it's something that you earn by honoring your promises. If you promise to have the merchandise in the customer's hands by Wednesday, you have no excuse not to have it there. If you offer to repair something, you need to make good on your offer. Consistency in what you offer is the other key factor. If you cannot come through with the same level of service (and products) for clients on a regular basis, they have no reason to trust you . . . and without trust, you won't have a good reputation.

17. Sell benefits.
Pushing product features is for inexperienced or wannabe entrepreneurs. Selling the benefits associated with owning and using the products and services you carry is what sales professionals worldwide focus on to create buying excitement and to sell, sell more, and sell more frequently to their customers. Your advertising, sales presentations, printed marketing materials, product packaging, website, newsletters, trade show exhibit and signage are vital. Every time and every medium used to communicate with your target audience must always be selling the benefits associated with owning your product or using your service.

18. Get involved.
Always go out of your way to get involved in the community that supports your business. You can do this in many ways, such as pitching in to help local charities or the food bank, becoming involved in organizing community events, and getting involved in local politics. You can join associations and clubs that concentrate on programs and policies designed to improve the local community. It's a fact that people like to do business with people they know, like and respect, and with people who do things to help them as members of the community.

19. Grab attention.
Small-business owners cannot waste time, money and energy on promotional activities aimed at building awareness solely through long-term, repeated exposure. If you do, chances are you will go broke long before this goal is accomplished. Instead, every promotional activity you engage in, must put money back in your pocket so that you can continue to grab more attention and grow your business.

20. Master the art of negotiations.
The ability to negotiate effectively is unquestionably a skill that every home business owner must make every effort to master. It's perhaps second in importance only to asking for the sale in terms of home business musts. In business, negotiation skills are used daily. Always remember that mastering the art of negotiation means that your skills are so finely tuned that you can always orchestrate a win-win situation. These win-win arrangements mean that everyone involved feels they have won, which is really the basis for building long-term and profitable business relationships.

21. Design Your workspace for success.
Carefully plan and design your home office workspace to ensure maximum personal performance and productivity and, if necessary, to project professionalism for visiting clients. If at all possible, resist the temptation to turn a corner of the living room or your bedroom into your office. Ideally, you'll want a separate room with a door that closes to keep business activities in and family members out, at least during prime business and revenue generating hours of the day. A den, spare bedroom, basement or converted garage are all ideal candidates for your new home office. If this is not possible, you'll have to find a means of converting a room with a partition or simply find hours to do the bulk of your work when nobody else is home.

22. Get and stay organized.
The key to staying organized is not about which type of file you have or whether you keep a stack or two of papers on your desk, but it's about managing your business. It's about having systems in place to do things. Therefore, you wan to establish a routine by which you can accomplish as much as possible in a given workday, whether that's three hours for a part-time business or seven or nine hours as a full-timer. In fact, you should develop systems and routines for just about every single business activity. Small things such as creating a to-do list at the end of each business day, or for the week, will help keep you on top of important tasks to tackle. Creating a single calendar to work from, not multiple sets for individual tasks or jobs, will also ensure that jobs are completed on schedule and appointments kept. Incorporating family and personal activities into your work calendar is also critical so that you work and plan from a single calendar.

23. Take time off.
The temptation to work around the clock is very real for some home business owners. After all, you don't have a manager telling you it's time to go home because they can't afford the overtime pay. Every person working from home must take time to establish a regular work schedule that includes time to stretch your legs and take lunch breaks, plus some days off and scheduled vacations. Create the schedule as soon as you have made the commitment to start a home business. Of course, your schedule will have to be flexible. You should, therefore, not fill every possible hour in the day. Give yourself a backup hour or two. All work and no play makes you burn out very fast and grumpy customer service is not what people want.

24. Limit the number of hats you wear.
It's difficult for most business owners not to take a hands-on approach. They try to do as much as possible and tackle as many tasks as possible in their business. The ability to multitask, in fact, is a common trait shared by successful entrepreneurs. However, once in a while you have to stand back and look beyond today to determine what's in the best interest of your business and yourself over the long run. Most highly successful entrepreneurs will tell you that from the time they started out, they knew what they were good at and what tasks to delegate to others.

25. Follow-up constantly.
Constant contact, follow-up, and follow-through with customers, prospects, and business alliances should be the mantra of every home business owner, new or established. Constant and consistent follow-up enables you to turn prospects into customers, increase the value of each sale and buying frequency from existing customers, and build stronger business relationships with suppliers and your core business team. Follow-up is especially important with your existing customer base, as the real work begins after the sale. It's easy to sell one product or service, but it takes work to retain customers and keep them coming back.

James Stephenson is an experienced home based consultant with more than 15 years of business and marketing experience.


Read more: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/200730#ixzz2rEM2vhXV

Catching the Vision of Self-Reliance

Many members might think of welfare as a program to help members in temporarily difficult circumstances. But the intent of the Church’s welfare plan is much more vast; it also involves promoting self-reliance as a way of life. President Thomas S. Monson has taught that self-reliance—“the ability, commitment, and effort to provide the necessities of life for self and family” 1—is an essential element of our temporal and spiritual well-being.
A mere desire to become self-reliant is not enough. We must make a conscious, active effort to provide for our own needs and those of our families. 2 Bishop H. David Burton, Presiding Bishop, reminds us that when we have done all we can to be self-reliant, “we can turn to the Lord in confidence to ask for what we might yet lack.” 3 Being self-reliant allows us to bless others. Elder Robert D. Hales of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles says, “Only when we are self-reliant can we truly emulate the Savior in serving and blessing others.” 4
Self-reliance involves several facets of a balanced life, including (1) education, (2) health, (3) employment, (4) family home production and storage, (5) family finances, and (6) spiritual strength.

1. Education

The Lord commands us to “seek learning, even by study and also by faith” (D&C 88:118). President Gordon B. Hinckley (1910–2008) taught: “We believe in education. This Church encourages education. There is incumbent upon every member of this Church, as a mandate from the Lord, to get all the education you can get. . . . There is incumbent upon the Latter-day Saints a dictum from the Lord Himself to educate our minds and our hands.” 5
Gaining an education was the goal of Roberto Flete Gonzalez of the Dominican Republic, who enrolled in college shortly after returning from his mission. His father agreed to cover his living expenses so that Roberto could focus on his studies, but a short time later, Roberto’s father died, leaving the family in a dire financial situation.
Roberto quit school and began working to support himself, his mother, and his sister. He wondered how he’d ever be able to finish school.
Weeks later President Hinckley announced the Perpetual Education Fund (PEF), “a bold initiative” that would help youth in developing areas “rise out of the poverty they and generations before them have known.” 6 Roberto applied for and was granted a PEF loan, which allowed him to continue his studies. This opportunity not only helped with immediate finances, but it also helped Roberto have the faith to marry and form an eternal family because he knew he would be able to provide for them.
Roberto finished medical school while serving as a bishop and became the first Church member on the National Board of Dominican Medical Schools. But the best results, he says, have been at home. “There have been changes in my family as we are now further removed from the cycle of poverty,” he says. “I am grateful that my son won’t have to live the same way I did because we’ve stepped out of that cycle.”
For more information, visit the Education and Literacy section of providentliving.org and visit besmart.com, a website to help Latter-day Saint youth prepare for higher education.

2. Health

Because we are created in the image of God (see Genesis 1:27), our bodies are temples and should be treated with care and respect (see 1 Corinthians 3:16–17). The Word of Wisdom, found in Doctrine and Covenants 89, is the Lord’s code of health and was revealed to Joseph Smith in 1833. It teaches that we should eat nutritious foods and avoid harmful substances. Apostles and prophets have since taught that we should shun all substances or practices that harm our bodies or minds and that could lead to addiction. 7
Sainimere Balenacagi of Fiji learned this lesson as a teenager when she was attending a wedding with some friends who were not members of the Church. Many people there, including Sainimere’s friends, were drinking and smoking and invited her to drink. “I was taught my whole life to live the gospel standards, so I rejected the offer without hesitation,” Sainimere says.
She knows that the blessings of adhering to the Word of Wisdom go beyond physical health. “I have found extra protection in the sense that I am able to make better choices because of the closeness of the Holy Spirit. I see clearly that standards do not restrict our freedom; they protect us from consequences that lead to restricted freedom.”
For more information, see the Physical Health section of providentliving.org.

3. Employment

In many wards and branches, finding employment is the most pressing need members face as they strive to become self-reliant. Priesthood quorums and ward council members can help these members. They should work closely with these individuals, identifying helpful community resources, mentors who can personally assist those in need, and available job opportunities. The power of members working together in faith to bless those in need will often lead to successful employment.
In some areas of the world, the Church has established employment resource centers. Currently, there are more than 300 centers in 56 countries that offer services such as career workshops, networking meetings, and individual job counseling. The new Church website ldsjobs.org also provides resources for job seekers, employers, and Church leaders.
“Our Heavenly Father asks only that we do the best we can—that we work according to our full capacity, however great or small that may be.”
—President Dieter F. Uchtdorf
After Oséias Portinari of Brazil was laid off at work, he spent more than two months searching for a new job. Unable to find a position, he volunteered at his local employment resource center in São Paulo. Helping others in their job searches offered Oséias an opportunity to improve his own interviewing and job search skills. He took the career workshop several times and eventually became an instructor. To his surprise, as he diligently served others, Oséias soon began to receive calls from prospective employers, which led to gainful employment.
Oséias is grateful for Church resources that give unemployed members a better vision of life. He says, “I know that as we put in effort, the Lord opens doors.”
For more information, visit ldsjobs.org, employment.lds.org, or your nearest employment resource center.

4. Family Home Production and Storage

In 2007 the Church introduced All Is Safely Gathered In: Family Home Storage, a pamphlet that provides a simplified approach to family home storage. The First Presidency encourages members worldwide to focus on having a basic supply of food and water and some money in savings. Members can begin by producing or purchasing a few extra items and setting aside a little money each week as their circumstances allow. Following this pattern over time, members can establish a home storage supply and a financial reserve suitable for their needs. 8
After learning of this counsel, the Lugo family of Valencia, Venezuela, felt inspired to begin their own home storage. Each week they began setting aside a small amount of food, water, and money. Even with their limited resources, they were able to gather a modest reserve after only a few months. Later that year a workers’ strike in Venezuela put many local workers’ jobs in jeopardy. Brother Omar Lugo was among those who eventually lost their jobs.
It took nearly two years for Brother Lugo to find new employment. During that time, Brother Lugo and his family lived on their savings and food storage. Despite the difficult challenges of unemployment, the Lugos experienced peace and comfort because they were prepared. They faced the uncertain future with confidence, knowing they had followed the counsel to gradually build their home storage. 9
For more information, visit the Family Home Storage section of providentliving.org or refer to the pamphlet All Is Safely Gathered In: Family Home Storage.

5. Family Finances

Another aspect of provident living is wisely managing income and expenses. The First Presidency has counseled:
“We urge you to be modest in your expenditures; discipline yourselves in your purchases to avoid debt.
“If you have paid your debts and have a financial reserve, even though it be small, you and your family will feel more secure and enjoy greater peace in your hearts.” 10
Successful family finances begin with the payment of tithes and offerings. When members put the Lord first, they are better able to care for themselves and others.
Another part of successful financial management involves knowing your income and expenses and controlling money rather than letting it control you. When Devon and Michaela Stephens of Arizona, USA, created a budget, they had only a vague idea of how much money they spent each month. But making a budget with specific categories helped them “come out of the clouds and down to earth,” Michaela says. “It was alarming to find we had less money than we thought, but it was also intensely exhilarating to suddenly feel that we had firm control of what we had.”
“All of us are responsible to provide for ourselves and our families in both temporal and spiritual ways. To provide providently, we must practice the principles of provident living: joyfully living within our means, being content with what we have, avoiding excessive debt, and diligently saving and preparing for rainy-day emergencies.”
—Elder Robert D. Hales
For more information, visit the Family Finances section of providentliving.org or refer to the pamphlet All Is Safely Gathered In: Family Finances.

6. Spiritual Strength

Spirituality is essential to our temporal and eternal well-being. We all experience trials. Striving to increase our spirituality will help us face these trials well and give us hope for better days.
Nirina Josephson-Randriamiharisoa of Madagascar currently lives in France while she pursues her education. When she first arrived, she struggled with loneliness and homesickness. “I sought for solace through prayer, scripture reading, and the gentle whisperings of the Holy Spirit,” says Nirina. “These things brought me closer to Heavenly Father and the Savior, and I felt peace.”
In time Nirina made friends and participated in activities within and outside the Church and found happiness. But then some tragic news from home shook her world. “One morning I received a message telling me that my brother had died. I had no idea I could feel such sadness. In the days and weeks that followed, I struggled through moments of loneliness, anger, and despair. Doing even the most basic things became serious challenges.”
A few months later, a close friend also passed away. The added sorrow increased Nirina’s already-heavy burden. For just a moment Nirina considered not attending church, but then she remembered that the same things that had buoyed her in her earlier difficulties could bolster her now.
“As I had when I first moved to France, I sought comfort in prayer, scripture reading, and the Holy Ghost. Through this I discovered more strongly that the Spirit and the doctrine of eternal families can bring us comfort and that the Atonement of Jesus Christ has a real effect in our lives,” she says. “Whatever trials we face, there are no ‘dead ends’ with the Lord. His plan is a plan of happiness.”
For more information on self-reliance and provident living, see Providing in the Lord’s Way: Summary of A Leader’s Guide to Welfare, available in many languages at providentliving.org.



 
    Forex Trading tips/Advices
Forex trading is no longer a mystery. Everyone can learn how to trade and everyone (of a legal age) can open a Forex account.
 Years ago, even today traders keep making mistakes, recovering and just to find that there are more challenges ahead.
Some say Forex trading is simple, while others argue that it's not, and all depend on the $ amount you put at stake.
Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, I’d like to present a series of trading tips to help you get a grasp of Forex trading with its challenges and risks.
Tip 1. Gamblers go to casino. All unproved, spontaneous actions in Forex trading — are a part of pure gambling.

Any attempt to trade without analysis and studying the market is equal to a game. Games are fun except when you lose real money...
Tip 2. Never invest money into a real Forex account until you practice on a Forex Demo account!
Allow at least 2 months for demo trading. Consider this: 90% of beginners fail to succeed in the real money market due to lack of knowledge, practice and discipline. Those remaining 10% of successful traders had been sharpening and shaping their skills on demo accounts for years before entering the real market.
Tip 3. Go with the trend!
Trend is your friend. Trade with the trend to maximize your chances to succeed. Trading against the trend won't "kill" a trader, but will definitely require more attention, nerves and sharp skills to rich trading goals.
When a trend is up you don't want to be selling.        
Selling when a trend is down, you don't want to be buying.

Tip 4. Always take a look at the time frame larger than the one you've chosen to trade with.
It gives the bigger picture of market price movements and thus helps to clearly define the trend. For example, when trading with 15 minute time frame, take a look at 1 hour charts.
In the same way: trading with 1 hour charts would require obtaining a picture of daily, weekly price movements.
If a trend in Forex is hard to spot — choose a bigger time frame. Up and down market patterns are always present. Make sure you know the dominant trend, unless you are a scalper. Scalpers have no need to spend their time studying large trends, instead what's happening in the market here and now (on 1-5 minute time frame) is their main concern.
Tip 5. Never risk more than 2% of the total trading account.
One important difference between a successful and an unsuccessful trader is that the first is able to survive under unfavorable market conditions, while an unsuccessful trader will lose his account after 10-15 unprofitable trades in a row.
Even with the same trading system 2 traders can get opposite results in the long run. The difference will be again in the money management approach. A quick fact to get your mind thinking about money management: losing just 50% of you account balance requires making 100% return only to restore the original balance.
Tip 6. Put emotions down. Trade calm.
Don't try to revenge after losing a trade. Don't be greedy by adding lots of positions when winning.
Overreaction blocks clear thinking and as a result will cost you money. Overtrading can shake your money management and dramatically increase trading risks.
Tip 7. Choose the time frame that is right for you.
Choosing wisely means that you are comfortable and have enough time to analyze the market, place and close orders etc. Some people can't wait for hours for the price to make a move, they like action and therefore prefer smaller time frames. On the contrary, for others 10-15 minutes is a hustle to be able to make the right decision.
2. Returning the lost capital is harder that it seems to
Let's take a look at calculations where a trader has lost some part of his account. How much effort will it take to recover the original account balance?
Account     %of account lost  New balance Need to make
$ 5000  25%         $ 3750            35% of the new balance ($ 1250) to cover losses
$ 5000  50%         $ 2500            100% of the new balance ($ 2500) to cover losses
$ 5000  75%         $ 1250            300% of the new balance ($ 3750) to cover losses
Note that it's only about covering losses: Who is going to make money then..?
And when..?
Now, here is a challenge: try on your demo account to gain a return of 300% or at least 100% of your original account trading as it were the real money. Will that be easy? I don't think so. Can you prove me wrong?
3. Calculate risk / reward ratio before entering a trade
When chances to win in a trade are smaller than potential losses, don't trade! Remember — staying aside is a position.
For example:
losing 40 pips versus winning 30 pips,
losing 20 pips versus winning 20 pips,

Both examples are showing a bad risk management.
Before entering a trade, reassure that risk / reward ratio is at least 1:2 (but ideally 1:3 or higher), which means that chances to lose are tree times less than promises to win. For example: 30 pips of a possible loss versus 100 pips of a potential win is a good trade to consider taking.
Adopting this money management rule as a must, in the long run it will dramatically increase your chances to succeed in making stable profits.
Log onto www.forex-market-hours.com and Google the stock market time zone.
Active currencies
London/New York Session
- EUR/USD, - USD/CHF, - GBP/USD
Tokyo/Sydney Session
- EUR/JPY, - AUD/USD, - USD/JPY, - AUD/JPY
Sydney Session
- AUD/USD, - EUR/USD
Most active trading days are:
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday then Sunday (opening)
·        Mondays are days when traders are mostly watching and analyzing the market and predict further price moves.
·        Fridays are traded approximately till noon, after that all action slow down and almost freeze before the actual market closing at 5pm EST
·        The most volatile currency pairs are: GBP/JPY, EUR/NZD, GBP/AUD
·        The least volatile currency pairs are: EUR/GBP, NZD/USD and EUR/CHF
News Fade
Forex related news, whether apparent and/or real, immediately precede an upward spike or a downward spiral. This is because this is the most accessible means of information gathering for traders in general, and provided and reported by reputable news institutions that are generally reliable. This usually lasts for 10 to 15 minutes and then traders will see a slow return to previously traded levels. For example, historically speaking, Non Farm Payroll (NFP) which is released at the 1st Friday of every month is used by most traders to determine the value of the US Dollar (USD).
In application, all you have to do is look at the global price market and pay special attention to news related trading which are indicated as “high”. The key here is to wait for 10 to 15 minutes from the time the news of the day preceded the spike. After that, you trade in the opposite direction of the price movement. In order to generate profits, you watch out for the following:

  • Your “Take Profit”, which is the trading level immediately prior to the news.

  • Your “Stop Trading”, which is set as near as the most recent low or high from the news.
Inside Day Breakout
Essential to this strategy is known as the “daily candle”. The trader looks for one that stays within the previous trading day’s high and low. In other words, the candle of the day never goes above or below the high and low of the immediately preceding trading day. The more candles that meet this condition within consecutive trading days the better. The strategy is simple, the trader depending on his/her position does one of the two things:

  • Buy one Percentage in points above the previous day’s high.

  • Sell one Percentage in points below the previous day’s low.
Two Hour MACD Cross
This works best on trending currency pairs. Make use of at least two indicators, preferably the MACD and the 200 Period Simple Moving Average. Both indicators will be used to determine the change in trend and to determine the direction of the trend respectively. Bear in mind that price action below the latter indicates a downtrend and the reverse indicates an uptrend. With the MACD, you make use of two strategies:

  • Buy when there is an uptrend and the MACD line goes over the signal line.

  • Sell when there is a downtrend and the MACD line goes below the signal line.
In Closing
The three strategies discussed are simple to understand, easy to implement, and require very little time to close. However, there is no such thing as a foolproof trading strategy. As such, a stop loss order cannot be emphasized enough. In order to increase your competence and confidence, it is best you make full use of a Forex demo account, undergo continuing Forex education, and always stay calm regardless of the trading direction.